Historical example · Feb. 9, 2025
Will Philadelphia beat Kansas City?
Pro football championship · YES side · Illustrative inputs, not archived quotes
Sportsbook consensus
58%
Odds-implied probability
YES market ask
52¢
Per contract
Estimated fee
2¢
Per contract
Estimated EV
+4¢
If 58% holds · 58¢ − 52¢ − 2¢
A sportsbook consensus above the YES ask merits a look once settlement rules, timing, and costs match.