Sports · Economics · Current events

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Historical example · Feb. 9, 2025

Will Philadelphia beat Kansas City?

Pro football championship · YES side · Illustrative inputs, not archived quotes

Sportsbook consensus

58%

Odds-implied probability

YES market ask

52¢

Per contract

Estimated fee

2¢

Per contract

Estimated EV

+4¢

If 58% holds · 58¢ − 52¢ − 2¢

A sportsbook consensus above the YES ask merits a look once settlement rules, timing, and costs match.

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